Flow-dependent versus flow-independent initial perturbations for ensemble prediction
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Initial state perturbations in ensemble forecasting
Due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics, numerical weather prediction systems are sensitive to errors in the initial conditions. To estimate the forecast uncertainty, forecast centres produce ensemble forecasts based on perturbed initial conditions. How to optimally perturb the initial conditions remains an open question and different methods are in use. One is the singular vector (SV...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
سال: 2009
ISSN: 1600-0870
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00385.x